Hearts vs St Mirren — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hearts opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-213) and shortened to 1.44 (-229). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hearts 65% → 67%, draw 20% → 19%, St Mirren 15% → 14%. The Asian handicap held at Hearts -1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Hearts went from 65% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hearts | 1.47 (-213) | 1.44 (-229) |
| Draw | 4.90 (+390) | 5.01 (+401) |
| St Mirren | 6.25 (+525) | 6.99 (+599) |
| Asian handicap | Hearts -1.25 · 2.00 (+100) | Hearts -1.25 · 1.97 (-103) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105) | O/U 3 · over 1.87 (-115) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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