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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Hearts vs St Mirren — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hearts opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-213) and shortened to 1.44 (-229). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hearts 65% → 67%, draw 20% → 19%, St Mirren 15% → 14%. The Asian handicap held at Hearts -1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Hearts went from 65% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hearts1.47 (-213)1.44 (-229)
Draw4.90 (+390)5.01 (+401)
St Mirren6.25 (+525)6.99 (+599)
Asian handicapHearts -1.25 · 2.00 (+100)Hearts -1.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)O/U 3 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%28%52%77%Hearts 67%Draw 19%St Mirren 14%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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