Sep 19, 2026 · 5:45 PM UK · 164 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 164 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 55 min before kickoff. Hearts opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and drifted to 1.70 (-143). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kilmarnock 19% → 20%, draw 22% → 23%, Hearts 58% → 57%. The Asian handicap moved from Kilmarnock +1 to Kilmarnock +0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: Hearts went from 54% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kilmarnock
4.93 (+393)
4.86 (+386)
Draw
4.33 (+333)
4.12 (+312)
Hearts
1.64 (-156)
1.70 (-143)
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 · 1.82 (-122)
Kilmarnock +0.75 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kilmarnock
Total (over/under)
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