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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Hibernian vs Aberdeen — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hibernian opened as the favorite at 1.75 (-133) and shortened to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hibernian 55% → 56%, draw 24% → 25%, Aberdeen 21% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Hibernian -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: Hibernian went from 53% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hibernian1.75 (-133)1.71 (-141)
Draw3.99 (+299)3.89 (+289)
Aberdeen4.53 (+353)5.13 (+413)
Asian handicapHibernian -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)Hibernian -0.75 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.5 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%29%46%63%Hibernian 56%Draw 25%Aberdeen 19%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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