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⚾ Baseball MLB Final

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays — odds movement

Sep 1, 2026 · 6:40 PM ET · 80 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 80 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 35 min before first pitch. Cleveland Guardians opened and closed as the favorite at 1.58 (-171). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cleveland Guardians 62% → 62%, Toronto Blue Jays 38% → 38%. The run line held at Cleveland Guardians -1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 7.5 to 8.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cleveland Guardians1.58 (-171)1.58 (-171)
Toronto Blue Jays2.57 (+157)2.56 (+156)
run lineCleveland Guardians -1.5 · 2.27 (+127)Cleveland Guardians -1.5 · 2.26 (+126)
TotalO/U 7.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 8 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Cleveland Guardians 62%Toronto Blue Jays 38%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
7.587.5 → 8

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).