Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres — odds movement
Sep 1, 2026 · 6:40 PM ET · 80 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 80 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 35 min before first pitch. San Diego Padres opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-132) and drifted to 1.78 (-128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cincinnati Reds 44% → 45%, San Diego Padres 56% → 55%. The run line held at Cincinnati Reds +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 9.5 to 9.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Cincinnati Reds | 2.22 (+122) | 2.18 (+118) |
| San Diego Padres | 1.76 (-132) | 1.78 (-128) |
| run line | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · 1.77 (-130) | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · 1.75 (-133) |
| Total | O/U 9.5 · over 2.00 (+100) | O/U 9 · over 1.88 (-114) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).