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⚾ Baseball MLB Final

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves — odds movement

Sep 1, 2026 · 6:45 PM ET · 80 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 80 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 40 min before first pitch. Atlanta Braves opened as the favorite at 1.59 (-170) and drifted to 1.70 (-142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Washington Nationals 38% → 42%, Atlanta Braves 62% → 58%. The run line held at Washington Nationals +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 10. The sharpest single move came 3 h 50 min before first pitch: Washington Nationals went from 39% to 41% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Washington Nationals2.56 (+156)2.31 (+131)
Atlanta Braves1.59 (-170)1.70 (-142)
run lineWashington Nationals +1.5 · 1.96 (-104)Washington Nationals +1.5 · 1.84 (-119)
TotalO/U 10 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 10 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Washington Nationals 42%Atlanta Braves 58%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total (over/under)
9.51010 → 10

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).