Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 124 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 124 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 15 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 2.20 (+120) and shortened to 1.98 (-102). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Charleroi 29% → 25%, draw 27% → 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 44% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Charleroi +0.25 to Charleroi +0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 40 min before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 46% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Charleroi | 3.29 (+229) | 3.86 (+286) |
| Draw | 3.57 (+257) | 3.69 (+269) |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 2.20 (+120) | 1.98 (-102) |
| Asian handicap | Charleroi +0.25 · 1.98 (-102) | Charleroi +0.5 · 1.92 (-109) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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