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Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 124 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 124 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 15 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 2.20 (+120) and shortened to 1.98 (-102). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Charleroi 29% → 25%, draw 27% → 26%, Union Saint-Gilloise 44% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Charleroi +0.25 to Charleroi +0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 40 min before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 46% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Charleroi3.29 (+229)3.86 (+286)
Draw3.57 (+257)3.69 (+269)
Union Saint-Gilloise2.20 (+120)1.98 (-102)
Asian handicapCharleroi +0.25 · 1.98 (-102)Charleroi +0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%32%42%53%Charleroi 25%Draw 26%Union Saint-Gilloise 49%
Asian handicap · Charleroi
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).