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Anderlecht vs Genk — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 168 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 168 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 15 min before kickoff. Anderlecht opened as the favorite at 2.53 (+153) and shortened to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Anderlecht 38% → 42%, draw 27% → 25%, Genk 35% → 33%. The Asian handicap moved from Anderlecht 0 to Anderlecht -0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Genk went from 30% to 34% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Anderlecht2.53 (+153)2.33 (+133)
Draw3.56 (+256)3.80 (+280)
Genk2.76 (+176)2.94 (+194)
Asian handicapAnderlecht 0 · 1.86 (-116)Anderlecht -0.25 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 3 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%30%39%48%Anderlecht 42%Draw 25%Genk 33%
Asian handicap · Anderlecht
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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