Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray — odds movement
Sep 4, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 393 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 393 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 37 h 50 min before kickoff. Galatasaray opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-154) and shortened to 1.63 (-159). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Istanbul Basaksehir 20% → 19%, draw 22% → 22%, Galatasaray 58% → 59%. The Asian handicap moved from Istanbul Basaksehir +0.75 to Istanbul Basaksehir +1. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 5 min before kickoff: Galatasaray went from 62% to 59% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Istanbul Basaksehir
4.69 (+369)
5.00 (+400)
Draw
4.26 (+326)
4.48 (+348)
Galatasaray
1.65 (-154)
1.63 (-159)
Asian handicap
Istanbul Basaksehir +0.75 · 2.04 (+104)
Istanbul Basaksehir +1 · 1.86 (-116)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.92 (-109)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Istanbul Basaksehir
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)
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