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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

FC Koln vs Werder Bremen — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Koln opened as the favorite at 2.08 (+108) and drifted to 2.11 (+111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Koln 47% → 46%, draw 26% → 26%, Werder Bremen 28% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Koln -0.5 to FC Koln -0.25. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Koln2.08 (+108)2.11 (+111)
Draw3.79 (+279)3.74 (+274)
Werder Bremen3.47 (+247)3.48 (+248)
Asian handicapFC Koln -0.5 · 2.08 (+108)FC Koln -0.25 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%41%51%FC Koln 46%Draw 26%Werder Bremen 28%
Asian handicap · FC Koln
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).