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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bayer Leverkusen opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and drifted to 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Augsburg 24% → 26%, draw 23% → 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 53% → 51%. The Asian handicap moved from Augsburg +0.75 to Augsburg +0.5. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Augsburg4.03 (+303)3.81 (+281)
Draw4.21 (+321)4.08 (+308)
Bayer Leverkusen1.82 (-122)1.92 (-109)
Asian handicapAugsburg +0.75 · 1.89 (-113)Augsburg +0.5 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3.5 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%45%59%Augsburg 26%Draw 24%Bayer Leverkusen 51%
Asian handicap · Augsburg
+0.5+0.75+0.75 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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