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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 645 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 645 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 2.34 (+134) and shortened to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 41% → 44%, draw 24% → 24%, Stuttgart 35% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 3 h 60 min before kickoff: Hoffenheim went from 41% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hoffenheim2.34 (+134)2.21 (+121)
Draw4.10 (+310)3.98 (+298)
Stuttgart2.76 (+176)3.08 (+208)
Asian handicapHoffenheim -0.25 · 2.08 (+108)Hoffenheim -0.25 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 3.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%29%38%48%Hoffenheim 44%Draw 24%Stuttgart 32%
Asian handicap · Hoffenheim
-0.250-0.25 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.5

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