Sep 12, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 645 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 645 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 2.34 (+134) and shortened to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 41% → 44%, draw 24% → 24%, Stuttgart 35% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 3 h 60 min before kickoff: Hoffenheim went from 41% to 43% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Hoffenheim
2.34 (+134)
2.21 (+121)
Draw
4.10 (+310)
3.98 (+298)
Stuttgart
2.76 (+176)
3.08 (+208)
Asian handicap
Hoffenheim -0.25 · 2.08 (+108)
Hoffenheim -0.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Hoffenheim
Total (over/under)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.