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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Freiburg opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-138) and shortened to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Freiburg 56% → 57%, draw 23% → 23%, Borussia Monchengladbach 21% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at Freiburg -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Freiburg1.72 (-138)1.71 (-141)
Draw4.23 (+323)4.24 (+324)
Borussia Monchengladbach4.55 (+355)4.78 (+378)
Asian handicapFreiburg -0.75 · 1.92 (-109)Freiburg -0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 3.25 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%47%64%Freiburg 57%Draw 23%Borussia Monchengladbach 20%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).