Sep 11, 2026 · 6:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Berlin opened as the favorite at 2.32 (+132) and drifted to 2.38 (+138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Berlin 42% → 41%, draw 26% → 28%, Schalke 04 33% → 31%. The Asian handicap held at Union Berlin -0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Union Berlin
2.32 (+132)
2.38 (+138)
Draw
3.74 (+274)
3.44 (+244)
Schalke 04
2.97 (+197)
3.17 (+217)
Asian handicap
Union Berlin -0.25 · 2.04 (+104)
Union Berlin -0.25 · 2.05 (+105)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.04 (+104)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Union Berlin
Total (over/under)
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