Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — odds movement
Sep 15, 2026 · 7:45 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hibernian opened as the favorite at 1.46 (-218) and shortened to 1.44 (-229). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hibernian 66% → 67%, draw 20% → 19%, Kilmarnock 15% → 13%. The Asian handicap held at Hibernian -1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 5 min before kickoff: Hibernian went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hibernian | 1.46 (-218) | 1.44 (-229) |
| Draw | 4.87 (+387) | 4.95 (+395) |
| Kilmarnock | 6.51 (+551) | 7.14 (+614) |
| Asian handicap | Hibernian -1.25 · 1.98 (-102) | Hibernian -1.25 · 1.93 (-107) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-120) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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