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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — odds movement

Sep 15, 2026 · 7:45 PM UK · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before kickoff. Hibernian opened as the favorite at 1.46 (-218) and shortened to 1.44 (-229). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hibernian 66% → 67%, draw 20% → 19%, Kilmarnock 15% → 13%. The Asian handicap held at Hibernian -1.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 5 min before kickoff: Hibernian went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hibernian1.46 (-218)1.44 (-229)
Draw4.87 (+387)4.95 (+395)
Kilmarnock6.51 (+551)7.14 (+614)
Asian handicapHibernian -1.25 · 1.98 (-102)Hibernian -1.25 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
3%28%53%79%Hibernian 67%Draw 19%Kilmarnock 13%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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