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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

St Johnstone vs Celtic — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM UK · 164 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 164 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 55 min before kickoff. Celtic opened as the favorite at 1.48 (-209) and drifted to 1.55 (-183). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Johnstone 16% → 17%, draw 20% → 20%, Celtic 65% → 62%. The Asian handicap moved from St Johnstone +1.25 to St Johnstone +1. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Celtic went from 68% to 65% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Johnstone6.10 (+510)5.57 (+457)
Draw4.90 (+390)4.73 (+373)
Celtic1.48 (-209)1.55 (-183)
Asian handicapSt Johnstone +1.25 · 1.89 (-112)St Johnstone +1 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.06 (+106)O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%29%53%78%St Johnstone 17%Draw 20%Celtic 62%
Asian handicap · St Johnstone
+1+1.25+1.25 → +1
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).