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Mechelen vs Anderlecht — odds movement

Sep 11, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 161 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 161 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 40 min before kickoff. Anderlecht opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-121) and shortened to 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mechelen 22% → 22%, draw 25% → 25%, Anderlecht 53% → 53%. The Asian handicap moved from Mechelen +0.5 to Mechelen +0.75. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Anderlecht went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mechelen4.38 (+338)4.47 (+347)
Draw3.77 (+277)3.80 (+280)
Anderlecht1.83 (-121)1.82 (-122)
Asian handicapMechelen +0.5 · 2.07 (+107)Mechelen +0.75 · 1.84 (-119)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%30%46%62%Mechelen 22%Draw 25%Anderlecht 53%
Asian handicap · Mechelen
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).