Sep 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Besiktas opened as the favorite at 1.26 (-384) and shortened to 1.21 (-478). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Besiktas 75% → 79%, draw 16% → 14%, Erzurumspor 9% → 7%. The Asian handicap moved from Besiktas -1.5 to Besiktas -1.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 12 h 15 min before kickoff: Besiktas went from 78% to 76% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Besiktas
1.26 (-384)
1.21 (-478)
Draw
5.81 (+481)
6.84 (+584)
Erzurumspor
10.98 (+998)
14.39 (+1339)
Asian handicap
Besiktas -1.5 · 1.83 (-121)
Besiktas -1.75 · 1.86 (-116)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-123)
O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Besiktas
Total (over/under)
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