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Samsunspor vs Corum Belediyespor — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Samsunspor opened as the favorite at 2.25 (+125) and drifted to 2.43 (+143). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Samsunspor 42% → 40%, draw 30% → 28%, Corum Belediyespor 28% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at Samsunspor -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: Corum Belediyespor went from 29% to 32% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Samsunspor2.25 (+125)2.43 (+143)
Draw3.19 (+219)3.41 (+241)
Corum Belediyespor3.44 (+244)3.05 (+205)
Asian handicapSamsunspor -0.25 · 1.92 (-109)Samsunspor -0.25 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%32%39%47%Samsunspor 40%Draw 28%Corum Belediyespor 32%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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