Union Saint-Gilloise vs Lommel — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-487) and drifted to 1.25 (-405). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Saint-Gilloise 80% → 77%, draw 13% → 15%, Lommel 8% → 9%. The Asian handicap moved from Union Saint-Gilloise -2 to Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 79% to 77% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.21 (-487) | 1.25 (-405) |
| Draw | 7.47 (+647) | 6.55 (+555) |
| Lommel | 12.60 (+1160) | 11.19 (+1019) |
| Asian handicap | Union Saint-Gilloise -2 · 1.96 (-104) | Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112) | O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).