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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Lommel — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-487) and drifted to 1.25 (-405). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Saint-Gilloise 80% → 77%, draw 13% → 15%, Lommel 8% → 9%. The Asian handicap moved from Union Saint-Gilloise -2 to Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 79% to 77% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Union Saint-Gilloise1.21 (-487)1.25 (-405)
Draw7.47 (+647)6.55 (+555)
Lommel12.60 (+1160)11.19 (+1019)
Asian handicapUnion Saint-Gilloise -2 · 1.96 (-104)Union Saint-Gilloise -1.75 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-5%27%60%93%Union Saint-Gilloise 77%Draw 15%Lommel 9%
Asian handicap · Union Saint-Gilloise
-2-1.75-2 → -1.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).