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⚽ Soccer Scotland - Premiership Final

St Johnstone vs Falkirk — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 170 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 170 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 25 min before kickoff. St Johnstone opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and drifted to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Johnstone 47% → 44%, draw 27% → 28%, Falkirk 26% → 27%. The Asian handicap moved from St Johnstone -0.5 to St Johnstone -0.25. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Johnstone2.06 (+106)2.19 (+119)
Draw3.58 (+258)3.40 (+240)
Falkirk3.63 (+263)3.54 (+254)
Asian handicapSt Johnstone -0.5 · 2.07 (+107)St Johnstone -0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.5 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%32%41%50%St Johnstone 44%Draw 28%Falkirk 27%
Asian handicap · St Johnstone
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).