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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Stuttgart opened as the favorite at 2.42 (+142) and shortened to 2.40 (+140). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Stuttgart 40% → 41%, draw 26% → 25%, Borussia Dortmund 34% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Stuttgart -0.25 to Stuttgart 0. The total stayed at 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Stuttgart2.42 (+142)2.40 (+140)
Draw3.71 (+271)3.91 (+291)
Borussia Dortmund2.85 (+185)2.81 (+181)
Asian handicapStuttgart -0.25 · 2.12 (+112)Stuttgart 0 · 1.82 (-122)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%29%36%43%Stuttgart 41%Draw 25%Borussia Dortmund 35%
Asian handicap · Stuttgart
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).