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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Mainz 05 opened as the favorite at 2.28 (+128) and shortened to 2.17 (+117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Borussia Monchengladbach 32% → 29%, draw 25% → 26%, Mainz 05 42% → 45%. The Asian handicap held at Borussia Monchengladbach +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Borussia Monchengladbach3.00 (+200)3.35 (+235)
Draw3.82 (+282)3.72 (+272)
Mainz 052.28 (+128)2.17 (+117)
Asian handicapBorussia Monchengladbach +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)Borussia Monchengladbach +0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 3.25 · over 2.13 (+113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%40%49%Borussia Monchengladbach 29%Draw 26%Mainz 05 45%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).