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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bayer Leverkusen opened as the favorite at 2.02 (+102) and shortened to 1.87 (-115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bayer Leverkusen 48% → 52%, draw 23% → 22%, RB Leipzig 29% → 26%. The Asian handicap held at Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 15 min before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen went from 49% to 51% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bayer Leverkusen2.02 (+102)1.87 (-115)
Draw4.18 (+318)4.40 (+340)
RB Leipzig3.34 (+234)3.74 (+274)
Asian handicapBayer Leverkusen -0.5 · 2.03 (+103)Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 3.75 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%30%44%58%Bayer Leverkusen 52%Draw 22%RB Leipzig 26%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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