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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Schalke 04 vs Elversberg — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 3:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Schalke 04 opened as the favorite at 2.07 (+107) and shortened to 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Schalke 04 47% → 51%, draw 27% → 24%, Elversberg 27% → 25%. The Asian handicap held at Schalke 04 -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 60 min before kickoff: Schalke 04 went from 46% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Schalke 042.07 (+107)1.90 (-111)
Draw3.62 (+262)3.98 (+298)
Elversberg3.63 (+263)3.96 (+296)
Asian handicapSchalke 04 -0.5 · 2.08 (+108)Schalke 04 -0.5 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%32%44%56%Schalke 04 51%Draw 24%Elversberg 25%
Asian handicap · Schalke 04
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).