Scan with your phone camera Paderborn vs Hoffenheim — odds movement
Sep 20, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 1.69 (-144) and drifted to 1.81 (-123). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paderborn 22% → 24%, draw 22% → 22%, Hoffenheim 57% → 53%. The Asian handicap held at Paderborn +0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 45 min before kickoff: Hoffenheim went from 57% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Paderborn | 4.47 (+347) | 3.97 (+297) |
| Draw | 4.48 (+348) | 4.37 (+337) |
| Hoffenheim | 1.69 (-144) | 1.81 (-123) |
| Asian handicap | Paderborn +0.75 · 2.04 (+104) | Paderborn +0.75 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.90 (-111) | O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).