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Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Erzurumspor opened as the favorite at 2.66 (+166) and shortened to 2.51 (+151). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Erzurumspor 36% → 39%, draw 30% → 30%, Samsunspor 35% → 31%. The Asian handicap moved from Erzurumspor 0 to Erzurumspor -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Samsunspor went from 34% to 32% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Erzurumspor2.66 (+166)2.51 (+151)
Draw3.21 (+221)3.19 (+219)
Samsunspor2.76 (+176)3.12 (+212)
Asian handicapErzurumspor 0 · 1.89 (-112)Erzurumspor -0.25 · 2.14 (+114)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.81 (-123)O/U 2.25 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%32%36%40%Erzurumspor 39%Draw 30%Samsunspor 31%
Asian handicap · Erzurumspor
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).