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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 649 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 649 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Bayern Munich opened as the favorite at 1.19 (-513) and shortened to 1.18 (-550). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Augsburg 9% → 6%, draw 10% → 11%, Bayern Munich 80% → 82%. The Asian handicap moved from Augsburg +2.25 to Augsburg +2.5. The total stayed at 4.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Augsburg10.10 (+910)15.00 (+1400)
Draw9.34 (+834)8.75 (+775)
Bayern Munich1.19 (-513)1.18 (-550)
Asian handicapAugsburg +2.25 · 2.00 (+100)Augsburg +2.5 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 4.5 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 4.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%27%62%96%Augsburg 6%Draw 11%Bayern Munich 82%
Asian handicap · Augsburg
+2.25+2.5+2.25 → +2.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (4.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).