Oct 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 649 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 649 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Stuttgart opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-168) and drifted to 1.67 (-149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paderborn 19% → 21%, draw 20% → 21%, Stuttgart 60% → 58%. The Asian handicap held at Paderborn +1 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Paderborn
4.97 (+397)
4.53 (+353)
Draw
4.80 (+380)
4.71 (+371)
Stuttgart
1.60 (-168)
1.67 (-149)
Asian handicap
Paderborn +1 · 1.97 (-103)
Paderborn +1 · 1.86 (-116)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)
O/U 3.75 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+1)
Total (over/under)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.