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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Paderborn vs Stuttgart — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 649 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 649 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Stuttgart opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-168) and drifted to 1.67 (-149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paderborn 19% → 21%, draw 20% → 21%, Stuttgart 60% → 58%. The Asian handicap held at Paderborn +1 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Paderborn4.97 (+397)4.53 (+353)
Draw4.80 (+380)4.71 (+371)
Stuttgart1.60 (-168)1.67 (-149)
Asian handicapPaderborn +1 · 1.97 (-103)Paderborn +1 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 3.75 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%30%50%69%Paderborn 21%Draw 21%Stuttgart 58%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+1)
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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