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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 6:30 PM UTC · 622 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 622 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Borussia Dortmund opened as the favorite at 1.37 (-271) and shortened to 1.36 (-277). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Borussia Dortmund 70% → 71%, draw 17% → 17%, Werder Bremen 13% → 12%. The Asian handicap held at Borussia Dortmund -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Borussia Dortmund1.37 (-271)1.36 (-277)
Draw5.72 (+472)5.59 (+459)
Werder Bremen7.51 (+651)8.22 (+722)
Asian handicapBorussia Dortmund -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)Borussia Dortmund -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 2.04 (+104)O/U 3.5 · over 2.13 (+113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-1%28%56%85%Borussia Dortmund 71%Draw 17%Werder Bremen 12%
Asian handicap · Borussia Dortmund
-1.75-1.5-1.5 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).