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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Union Berlin vs Elversberg — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 622 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 622 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Union Berlin opened as the favorite at 2.33 (+133) and drifted to 2.50 (+150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Berlin 42% → 39%, draw 25% → 27%, Elversberg 33% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Union Berlin -0.25 to Union Berlin 0. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Union Berlin2.33 (+133)2.50 (+150)
Draw3.80 (+280)3.58 (+258)
Elversberg2.93 (+193)2.87 (+187)
Asian handicapUnion Berlin -0.25 · 2.05 (+105)Union Berlin 0 · 1.83 (-120)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%30%37%44%Union Berlin 39%Draw 27%Elversberg 34%
Asian handicap · Union Berlin
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).