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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Brighton vs Crystal Palace — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Brighton opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-180) and shortened to 1.49 (-206). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Brighton 62% → 65%, draw 21% → 20%, Crystal Palace 17% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Brighton -1 to Brighton -1.25. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Brighton1.56 (-180)1.49 (-206)
Draw4.67 (+367)4.80 (+380)
Crystal Palace5.53 (+453)6.52 (+552)
Asian handicapBrighton -1 · 1.91 (-110)Brighton -1.25 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
6%28%51%74%Brighton 65%Draw 20%Crystal Palace 15%
Asian handicap · Brighton
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).