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Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 116 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 116 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 9 h 55 min before kickoff. Galatasaray opened as the favorite at 1.26 (-389) and drifted to 1.28 (-358). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Galatasaray 76% → 75%, draw 15% → 15%, Kasimpasa 9% → 10%. The Asian handicap held at Galatasaray -1.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Galatasaray1.26 (-389)1.28 (-358)
Draw6.28 (+528)6.23 (+523)
Kasimpasa11.21 (+1021)9.77 (+877)
Asian handicapGalatasaray -1.75 · 1.97 (-103)Galatasaray -1.75 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3.25 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-4%27%58%90%Galatasaray 75%Draw 15%Kasimpasa 10%
Asian handicap · Galatasaray
-1.75-1.5-1.75 → -1.75
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).