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Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Alanyaspor opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and drifted to 2.04 (+104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alanyaspor 47% → 47%, draw 29% → 32%, Erzurumspor 24% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Alanyaspor -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: the draw went from 30% to 32% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Alanyaspor1.93 (-107)2.04 (+104)
Draw3.14 (+214)3.06 (+206)
Erzurumspor3.71 (+271)4.61 (+361)
Asian handicapAlanyaspor -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)Alanyaspor -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 2 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%29%43%57%Alanyaspor 47%Draw 32%Erzurumspor 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).