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Galatasaray vs Cayirova Belediyesi — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM UTC · 143 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 143 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 10 min before tip-off. Galatasaray opened as the favorite at 1.17 (-574) and shortened to 1.17 (-588). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Galatasaray 76% → 76%, Cayirova Belediyesi 24% → 24%. The spread held at Galatasaray -8.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 163.5 to 164.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Galatasaray1.17 (-574)1.17 (-588)
Cayirova Belediyesi3.75 (+275)3.78 (+278)
spreadGalatasaray -8.5 · 1.82 (-122)Galatasaray -8.5 · 1.80 (-125)
TotalO/U 163.5 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 164 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%38%62%86%Galatasaray 76%Cayirova Belediyesi 24%
spread · no change in the recorded window (-8.5)
Total (over/under)
163.5164165163.5 → 164

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).