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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Medipolis SC Jena vs Rasta Vechta — odds movement

Oct 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 176 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 176 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 55 min before tip-off. Rasta Vechta opened as the favorite at 1.49 (-204) and drifted to 1.53 (-188). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Medipolis SC Jena 36% → 37%, Rasta Vechta 64% → 63%. The spread held at Medipolis SC Jena +4.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 172.5 to 168.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 10 min before tip-off: Medipolis SC Jena went from 39% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Medipolis SC Jena2.63 (+163)2.56 (+156)
Rasta Vechta1.49 (-204)1.53 (-188)
spreadMedipolis SC Jena +4.5 · 1.88 (-114)Medipolis SC Jena +4.5 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 172.5 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 168.5 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%43%57%72%Medipolis SC Jena 37%Rasta Vechta 63%
spread · Medipolis SC Jena
+4+4.5+5+5.5+4.5 → +4.5
Total (over/under)
168.5169.5172172.5172.5 → 168.5

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