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🏀 Basketball Turkey - Super League Final

Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket — odds movement

Oct 4, 2026 · 12:30 PM UTC · 138 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 138 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 11 h 45 min before tip-off. Fenerbahce opened as the favorite at 1.08 (-1316) and shortened to 1.06 (-1767). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fenerbahce 83% → 84%, Korfez Basket 17% → 16%. The spread moved from Fenerbahce -11.5 to Fenerbahce -13.5. The total stayed at 168.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fenerbahce1.08 (-1316)1.06 (-1767)
Korfez Basket5.16 (+416)5.70 (+470)
spreadFenerbahce -11.5 · 1.83 (-120)Fenerbahce -13.5 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 168.5 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 168.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
3%34%66%97%Fenerbahce 84%Korfez Basket 16%
spread · Fenerbahce
-13.5-11.5-11.5 → -13.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (168.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).