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Esenler Erokspor vs Petkim Spor Aliaga — odds movement

Oct 3, 2026 · 3:00 PM UTC · 146 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 146 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 25 min before tip-off. Esenler Erokspor opened as the favorite at 1.32 (-308) and shortened to 1.28 (-356). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Esenler Erokspor 68% → 70%, Petkim Spor Aliaga 32% → 30%. The spread moved from Esenler Erokspor -5.5 to Esenler Erokspor -6. The total stayed at 164.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Esenler Erokspor1.32 (-308)1.28 (-356)
Petkim Spor Aliaga2.84 (+184)3.04 (+204)
spreadEsenler Erokspor -5.5 · 1.85 (-118)Esenler Erokspor -6 · 1.79 (-126)
TotalO/U 164.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 164.5 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%41%59%78%Esenler Erokspor 70%Petkim Spor Aliaga 30%
spread · Esenler Erokspor
-6-5.5-5.5 → -6
Total · no change in the recorded window (164.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).