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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 9:40 PM ET · 355 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 355 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 43 h 15 min before tip-off. Oklahoma City Thunder opened as the favorite at 1.33 (-299) and shortened to 1.29 (-349). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Oklahoma City Thunder 72% → 75%, Denver Nuggets 28% → 25%. The spread moved from Oklahoma City Thunder -8 to Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5. The total stayed at 236.5. The sharpest single move came 14 h 20 min before tip-off: Oklahoma City Thunder went from 74% to 75% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Oklahoma City Thunder1.33 (-299)1.29 (-349)
Denver Nuggets3.50 (+250)3.86 (+286)
spreadOklahoma City Thunder -8 · 1.97 (-103)Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 236.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 236.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
16%39%61%84%Oklahoma City Thunder 75%Denver Nuggets 25%
spread · Oklahoma City Thunder
-9.5-9-8-8 → -9.5
Total (over/under)
235235.5236.5236.5 → 236.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).