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Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies — odds movement

Oct 23, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · 86 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 86 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 43 h 20 min before tip-off. Golden State Warriors opened as the favorite at 1.59 (-169) and drifted to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Golden State Warriors 61% → 60%, Memphis Grizzlies 39% → 40%. The spread held at Golden State Warriors -4 the whole way. The total moved down from 235 to 234.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLatest
Golden State Warriors1.59 (-169)1.62 (-162)
Memphis Grizzlies2.49 (+149)2.40 (+140)
spreadGolden State Warriors -4 · 1.95 (-105)Golden State Warriors -4 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 235 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 234 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
35%45%55%65%Golden State Warriors 60%Memphis Grizzlies 40%
spread · no change in the recorded window (-4)
Total (over/under)
234235235 → 234

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).