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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Montreal Canadiens vs Detroit Red Wings — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 237 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 237 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 50 min before puck drop. Montreal Canadiens opened as the favorite at 1.49 (-206) and drifted to 1.58 (-173). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Montreal Canadiens 65% → 62%, Detroit Red Wings 35% → 38%. The puck line held at Montreal Canadiens -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before puck drop: Detroit Red Wings went from 36% to 37% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Montreal Canadiens1.49 (-206)1.58 (-173)
Detroit Red Wings2.79 (+179)2.55 (+155)
puck lineMontreal Canadiens -1.5 · 2.23 (+123)Montreal Canadiens -1.5 · 2.35 (+135)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 6.5 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
29%43%57%71%Montreal Canadiens 62%Detroit Red Wings 38%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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