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🏒 Hockey NHL Final

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 7:07 PM ET · 237 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop

How the odds moved

We recorded 237 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 50 min before puck drop. Dallas Stars opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-151) and shortened to 1.60 (-167). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pittsburgh Penguins 42% → 39%, Dallas Stars 58% → 61%. The puck line held at Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 6 to 6.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 5 min before puck drop: Pittsburgh Penguins went from 41% to 37% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pittsburgh Penguins2.33 (+133)2.50 (+150)
Dallas Stars1.66 (-151)1.60 (-167)
puck linePittsburgh Penguins +1.5 · 1.52 (-194)Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 · 1.57 (-175)
TotalO/U 6 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 6.5 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
32%44%56%68%Pittsburgh Penguins 39%Dallas Stars 61%
puck line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total (over/under)
66.56 → 6.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).