Scan with your phone camera New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 7:37 PM ET · 356 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 356 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 29 h 45 min before puck drop. Tampa Bay Lightning opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-166) and shortened to 1.57 (-175). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Islanders 39% → 38%, Tampa Bay Lightning 61% → 62%. The puck line held at New York Islanders +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 6 to 5.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| New York Islanders | 2.46 (+146) | 2.57 (+157) |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.60 (-166) | 1.57 (-175) |
| puck line | New York Islanders +1.5 · 1.55 (-182) | New York Islanders +1.5 · 1.60 (-167) |
| Total | O/U 6 · over 2.05 (+105) | O/U 5.5 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).