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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Marseille vs Le Havre — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 4:15 PM UTC · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Marseille opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-167) and shortened to 1.49 (-204). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Marseille 60% → 65%, draw 20% → 20%, Le Havre 19% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Marseille -1 to Marseille -1.25. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Marseille1.60 (-167)1.49 (-204)
Draw4.73 (+373)4.96 (+396)
Le Havre5.00 (+400)6.27 (+527)
Asian handicapMarseille -1 · 1.99 (-101)Marseille -1.25 · 2.04 (+104)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%52%74%Marseille 65%Draw 20%Le Havre 15%
Asian handicap · Marseille
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).