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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain — odds movement

Oct 30, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Paris Saint-Germain opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-414) and drifted to 1.32 (-308). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Le Havre 9% → 11%, draw 13% → 16%, Paris Saint-Germain 77% → 73%. The Asian handicap moved from Le Havre +2 to Le Havre +1.5. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 30 min before kickoff: Paris Saint-Germain went from 74% to 72% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Le Havre10.24 (+924)8.93 (+793)
Draw7.10 (+610)6.06 (+506)
Paris Saint-Germain1.24 (-414)1.32 (-308)
Asian handicapLe Havre +2 · 1.81 (-124)Le Havre +1.5 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 3.25 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-3%28%59%90%Le Havre 11%Draw 16%Paris Saint-Germain 73%
Asian handicap · Le Havre
+1.5+1.75+2+2 → +1.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.25

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