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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Toulouse vs Troyes — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 4:15 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Toulouse opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-165) and shortened to 1.54 (-185). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toulouse 60% → 63%, draw 22% → 21%, Troyes 19% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Toulouse -0.75 to Toulouse -1. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 10 h 55 min before kickoff: Toulouse went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Toulouse1.61 (-165)1.54 (-185)
Draw4.40 (+340)4.54 (+354)
Troyes5.15 (+415)6.17 (+517)
Asian handicapToulouse -0.75 · 1.77 (-130)Toulouse -1 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.78 (-128)O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%50%72%Toulouse 63%Draw 21%Troyes 16%
Asian handicap · Toulouse
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).