Oct 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Estrela da Amadora opened as the favorite at 1.78 (-129) and drifted to 1.83 (-120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estrela da Amadora 53% → 53%, draw 26% → 27%, Casa Pia 21% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from Estrela da Amadora -0.75 to Estrela da Amadora -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before kickoff: Estrela da Amadora went from 54% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Estrela da Amadora
1.78 (-129)
1.83 (-120)
Draw
3.69 (+269)
3.56 (+256)
Casa Pia
4.56 (+356)
4.76 (+376)
Asian handicap
Estrela da Amadora -0.75 · 2.04 (+104)
Estrela da Amadora -0.5 · 1.85 (-118)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Estrela da Amadora
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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