Scan with your phone camera Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning — odds movement
Oct 20, 2026 · 10:37 PM ET · 337 snapshots, every 5 minutes until puck drop
How the odds moved
We recorded 337 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 29 h 10 min before puck drop. Vegas Golden Knights opened as the favorite at 1.92 (-109) and drifted to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vegas Golden Knights 51% → 50%, Tampa Bay Lightning 49% → 50%. The puck line held at Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 1.92 (-109) | 1.94 (-106) |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.97 (-103) | 1.96 (-104) |
| puck line | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 · 3.24 (+224) | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 · 3.29 (+229) |
| Total | O/U 6 · over 1.85 (-118) | O/U 6 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).