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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Genoa vs Juventus — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 40 min before kickoff. Juventus opened as the favorite at 1.70 (-142) and drifted to 1.84 (-119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Genoa 18% → 19%, draw 26% → 28%, Juventus 57% → 53%. The Asian handicap held at Genoa +0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Genoa5.40 (+440)5.03 (+403)
Draw3.77 (+277)3.44 (+244)
Juventus1.70 (-142)1.84 (-119)
Asian handicapGenoa +0.75 · 1.96 (-104)Genoa +0.75 · 1.81 (-123)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 2 · over 1.81 (-124)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%28%46%64%Genoa 19%Draw 28%Juventus 53%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.75)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).