Fiorentina vs Atalanta — odds movement
Oct 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Fiorentina opened as the favorite at 2.21 (+121) and drifted to 2.35 (+135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fiorentina 44% → 42%, draw 26% → 26%, Atalanta 30% → 33%. The Asian handicap held at Fiorentina -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 13 h 55 min before kickoff: Fiorentina went from 42% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Fiorentina | 2.21 (+121) | 2.35 (+135) |
| Draw | 3.73 (+273) | 3.80 (+280) |
| Atalanta | 3.20 (+220) | 2.98 (+198) |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina -0.25 · 1.93 (-107) | Fiorentina -0.25 · 2.05 (+105) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.79 (-126) | O/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).